Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1060.429135 1214.408203 1390.251047 1607.513482 1870.935874 2182.823136 2584.299359
2025-01-05 814.359656 1001.080313 1235.509611 1557.193112 1996.454204 2589.725475 3477.923782
2025-01-12 688.678658 882.219622 1139.259400 1515.518520 2070.078358 2888.551887 4253.353133
2025-01-19 597.759364 790.289725 1057.368964 1468.942477 2114.702425 3142.238966 5027.470307
2025-01-26 560.327473 763.922503 1058.734124 1537.202619 2338.149139 3719.452231 6539.533362
2025-02-02 523.331093 732.058703 1045.464751 1577.377788 2520.354609 4270.868961 8229.502396
2025-02-09 491.562230 703.380457 1031.859711 1612.429370 2697.929550 4860.027329 10275.317626
2025-02-16 456.172890 664.818476 997.006367 1604.199281 2791.756885 5306.454552 12215.845533
2025-02-23 435.930289 647.780126 994.681617 1652.297687 3004.114756 6072.787548 15482.735012
2025-03-02 415.891753 628.816991 986.405070 1687.215110 3196.205015 6857.726336 19394.151668
2025-03-09 392.090110 601.247231 959.846468 1682.292642 3299.944057 7458.245504 23189.203442
2025-03-16 367.115910 569.513852 922.506366 1650.237655 3334.711063 7886.950760 26731.002959
2025-03-23 350.741099 552.637850 912.970298 1679.577803 3537.671009 8929.606452 34457.799234
2025-03-30 325.080211 517.540065 866.378226 1624.524933 3521.323612 9309.316331 39582.564576
2025-04-06 303.634000 488.188896 827.678051 1580.842920 3524.509582 9760.603586 45941.809301
2025-04-13 283.711202 460.114974 788.853865 1531.596947 3502.456472 10122.955857 52533.786410
2025-04-20 278.465631 458.547800 801.968427 1603.696557 3841.783357 12035.304951 75968.417830
2025-04-27 270.495103 451.176444 802.533144 1646.146605 4108.049945 13850.568306 106100.136652
2025-05-04 262.556462 443.204946 800.984961 1683.200209 4370.481876 15862.843466 150036.798101
2025-05-11 251.257916 427.892321 782.500013 1674.498852 4481.584677 17237.554723 195049.267907
2025-05-18 245.642462 423.303943 786.544940 1725.361328 4815.811005 20126.951268 301494.819060
2025-05-25 239.239414 416.658762 785.417065 1762.300928 5115.063102 23161.755093 469517.343867
2025-06-01 230.197078 404.065275 769.885779 1757.092599 5254.678253 25347.166073 669893.914205